New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Odds & Preview — Sep. 1, 2026
New York Mets visit the Tampa Bay Rays on September 1, 2026, with first pitch listed for 6:40 PM ET at Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg). New York Mets enter at 62-77 and Tampa Bay Rays sit at 83-55.
Probable starters from the day's board: New York Mets Sean Manaea (4-7, 4.70 ERA); Tampa Bay Rays Freddy Peralta (7-11, 4.96 ERA). Starter listings can change; this page updates when the stored board changes.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives New York Mets a 51.3% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | September 1, 2026 · 6:40 PM ET |
|---|---|
| Venue | Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg) |
| Away | New York Mets (62-77) |
| Home | Tampa Bay Rays (83-55) |
| Status | STATUS_FINAL |
Pitchers
| Away | Sean Manaea |
|---|---|
| Home | Freddy Peralta |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | New York Mets | 60.8% |
| Takedown | New York Mets | 61.1% |
| Edge | Tampa Bay Rays | 54.9% |
| XSharp | Tampa Bay Rays | 63.1% |
| Sharp Consensus | New York Mets | 51.3% |
Sharp Consensus: New York Mets (51.3%)
Why the models split
The stored models split on this moneyline. New York Mets: Grinder2 (60.8%), Takedown (61.1%), Sharp Consensus (51.3%) Tampa Bay Rays: Edge (54.9%), XSharp (63.1%).
Sharp Consensus leans New York Mets, while Edge, XSharp lean the other way on the stored probabilities.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays board for September 1, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is New York Mets at 51.3%. Use the MLB picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
