Model Performance
Historical completed-game performance by confidence bucket and sport.
| Confidence | Grinder2 | Takedown | Edge | XSharp | Sharp Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85%+ | 55.0% 11-9 Sample Size: 20 |
62.9% 22-13 Sample Size: 35 |
— |
64.4% 47-26 Sample Size: 73 |
55.6% 10-8 Sample Size: 18 |
| 80-84% | 50.0% 5-5 Sample Size: 10 |
76.5% 13-4 Sample Size: 17 |
— |
76.5% 13-4 Sample Size: 17 |
57.1% 8-6 Sample Size: 14 |
| 75-79% | 66.7% 6-3 Sample Size: 9 |
68.8% 11-5 Sample Size: 16 |
— |
84.6% 11-2 Sample Size: 13 |
80.0% 16-4 Sample Size: 20 |
| 70-74% | 62.5% 5-3 Sample Size: 8 |
66.7% 8-4 Sample Size: 12 |
100.0% 6-0 Sample Size: 6 |
60.0% 9-6 Sample Size: 15 |
70.8% 17-7 Sample Size: 24 |
| 65-69% | 64.7% 11-6 Sample Size: 17 |
70.8% 17-7 Sample Size: 24 |
88.9% 8-1 Sample Size: 9 |
66.7% 18-9 Sample Size: 27 |
66.7% 12-6 Sample Size: 18 |
| 60-64% | 79.2% 19-5 Sample Size: 24 |
69.0% 20-9 Sample Size: 29 |
77.8% 14-4 Sample Size: 18 |
66.7% 12-6 Sample Size: 18 |
76.5% 26-8 Sample Size: 34 |
| 55-59% | 62.8% 27-16 Sample Size: 43 |
64.5% 20-11 Sample Size: 31 |
56.8% 21-16 Sample Size: 37 |
73.7% 14-5 Sample Size: 19 |
62.9% 22-13 Sample Size: 35 |
| 50-54% | 56.5% 39-30 Sample Size: 69 |
45.5% 15-18 Sample Size: 33 |
50.8% 66-64 Sample Size: 130 |
44.4% 8-10 Sample Size: 18 |
62.2% 23-14 Sample Size: 37 |
52.4% is the break-even win rate for standard -110 lines. Default view uses the last 200 completed games for faster loading.
Sport Breakdown
MLB
| Confidence | Grinder2 | Takedown | Edge | XSharp | Sharp Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85%+ | — |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| 80-84% | — |
— |
— |
100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
— |
| 75-79% | — |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| 70-74% | — |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| 65-69% | — |
— |
— |
66.7% 2-1 Sample Size: 3 |
— |
| 60-64% | 0.0% 0-1 Sample Size: 1 |
0.0% 0-1 Sample Size: 1 |
— |
100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
| 55-59% | — |
— |
0.0% 0-1 Sample Size: 1 |
— |
— |
| 50-54% | 25.0% 1-3 Sample Size: 4 |
25.0% 1-3 Sample Size: 4 |
25.0% 1-3 Sample Size: 4 |
— |
50.0% 2-2 Sample Size: 4 |
NBA
| Confidence | Grinder2 | Takedown | Edge | XSharp | Sharp Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85%+ | — |
100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
— |
100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
— |
| 80-84% | 66.7% 2-1 Sample Size: 3 |
50.0% 1-1 Sample Size: 2 |
— |
— |
— |
| 75-79% | 100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
— |
— |
100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
| 70-74% | — |
— |
— |
60.0% 3-2 Sample Size: 5 |
66.7% 2-1 Sample Size: 3 |
| 65-69% | — |
100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
— |
57.1% 4-3 Sample Size: 7 |
— |
| 60-64% | 66.7% 2-1 Sample Size: 3 |
33.3% 1-2 Sample Size: 3 |
— |
100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
66.7% 4-2 Sample Size: 6 |
| 55-59% | 40.0% 2-3 Sample Size: 5 |
50.0% 2-2 Sample Size: 4 |
— |
— |
33.3% 1-2 Sample Size: 3 |
| 50-54% | 50.0% 1-1 Sample Size: 2 |
50.0% 1-1 Sample Size: 2 |
42.9% 6-8 Sample Size: 14 |
— |
100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
NCAAF
| Confidence | Grinder2 | Takedown | Edge | XSharp | Sharp Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85%+ | 56.2% 9-7 Sample Size: 16 |
64.3% 18-10 Sample Size: 28 |
— |
61.4% 35-22 Sample Size: 57 |
56.2% 9-7 Sample Size: 16 |
| 80-84% | 25.0% 1-3 Sample Size: 4 |
72.7% 8-3 Sample Size: 11 |
— |
0.0% 0-2 Sample Size: 2 |
55.6% 5-4 Sample Size: 9 |
| 75-79% | 62.5% 5-3 Sample Size: 8 |
50.0% 4-4 Sample Size: 8 |
— |
— |
73.3% 11-4 Sample Size: 15 |
| 70-74% | 66.7% 4-2 Sample Size: 6 |
50.0% 1-1 Sample Size: 2 |
— |
100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
58.3% 7-5 Sample Size: 12 |
| 65-69% | 58.3% 7-5 Sample Size: 12 |
50.0% 2-2 Sample Size: 4 |
— |
0.0% 0-1 Sample Size: 1 |
33.3% 1-2 Sample Size: 3 |
| 60-64% | 71.4% 5-2 Sample Size: 7 |
33.3% 1-2 Sample Size: 3 |
— |
— |
100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
| 55-59% | 60.0% 3-2 Sample Size: 5 |
50.0% 1-1 Sample Size: 2 |
— |
— |
33.3% 1-2 Sample Size: 3 |
| 50-54% | 100.0% 3-0 Sample Size: 3 |
0.0% 0-3 Sample Size: 3 |
52.5% 32-29 Sample Size: 61 |
— |
50.0% 1-1 Sample Size: 2 |
NFL
| Confidence | Grinder2 | Takedown | Edge | XSharp | Sharp Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85%+ | 50.0% 2-2 Sample Size: 4 |
50.0% 3-3 Sample Size: 6 |
— |
50.0% 4-4 Sample Size: 8 |
50.0% 1-1 Sample Size: 2 |
| 80-84% | 66.7% 2-1 Sample Size: 3 |
— |
— |
66.7% 2-1 Sample Size: 3 |
60.0% 3-2 Sample Size: 5 |
| 75-79% | — |
66.7% 2-1 Sample Size: 3 |
— |
100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
— |
| 70-74% | 50.0% 1-1 Sample Size: 2 |
100.0% 1-0 Sample Size: 1 |
— |
0.0% 0-1 Sample Size: 1 |
50.0% 1-1 Sample Size: 2 |
| 65-69% | 50.0% 1-1 Sample Size: 2 |
0.0% 0-1 Sample Size: 1 |
— |
— |
66.7% 2-1 Sample Size: 3 |
| 60-64% | — |
— |
— |
— |
0.0% 0-1 Sample Size: 1 |
| 55-59% | 50.0% 1-1 Sample Size: 2 |
50.0% 1-1 Sample Size: 2 |
— |
0.0% 0-1 Sample Size: 1 |
0.0% 0-1 Sample Size: 1 |
| 50-54% | 0.0% 0-1 Sample Size: 1 |
0.0% 0-1 Sample Size: 1 |
42.9% 6-8 Sample Size: 14 |
— |
— |
SOCCER
| Confidence | Grinder2 | Takedown | Edge | XSharp | Sharp Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85%+ | — |
— |
— |
100.0% 7-0 Sample Size: 7 |
— |
| 80-84% | — |
100.0% 4-0 Sample Size: 4 |
— |
90.9% 10-1 Sample Size: 11 |
— |
| 75-79% | — |
100.0% 4-0 Sample Size: 4 |
— |
83.3% 10-2 Sample Size: 12 |
100.0% 4-0 Sample Size: 4 |
| 70-74% | — |
66.7% 6-3 Sample Size: 9 |
100.0% 6-0 Sample Size: 6 |
62.5% 5-3 Sample Size: 8 |
100.0% 7-0 Sample Size: 7 |
| 65-69% | 100.0% 3-0 Sample Size: 3 |
77.8% 14-4 Sample Size: 18 |
88.9% 8-1 Sample Size: 9 |
75.0% 12-4 Sample Size: 16 |
75.0% 9-3 Sample Size: 12 |
| 60-64% | 92.3% 12-1 Sample Size: 13 |
81.8% 18-4 Sample Size: 22 |
77.8% 14-4 Sample Size: 18 |
62.5% 10-6 Sample Size: 16 |
80.0% 20-5 Sample Size: 25 |
| 55-59% | 67.7% 21-10 Sample Size: 31 |
69.6% 16-7 Sample Size: 23 |
58.3% 21-15 Sample Size: 36 |
77.8% 14-4 Sample Size: 18 |
71.4% 20-8 Sample Size: 28 |
| 50-54% | 58.9% 33-23 Sample Size: 56 |
56.5% 13-10 Sample Size: 23 |
58.8% 20-14 Sample Size: 34 |
46.7% 7-8 Sample Size: 15 |
66.7% 18-9 Sample Size: 27 |
WNBA
| Confidence | Grinder2 | Takedown | Edge | XSharp | Sharp Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85%+ | — |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| 80-84% | — |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| 75-79% | — |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| 70-74% | — |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| 65-69% | — |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| 60-64% | — |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| 55-59% | — |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| 50-54% | 33.3% 1-2 Sample Size: 3 |
— |
33.3% 1-2 Sample Size: 3 |
33.3% 1-2 Sample Size: 3 |
33.3% 1-2 Sample Size: 3 |
Team Model Performance
Moneyline only for the current season — the same Grinder2 / Takedown / Edge / XSharp / Sharp Consensus grades as the results Season board. Spreads and totals are not mixed into these records.
Select a sport above to load team model performance (full-season grading is slow for all sports at once).
