PL /PREDICTION LAB
Menu

Best Performing Model

Today
Grinder2
80.0%
4-1 · +2.6u
Last 7
Grinder2
77.8%
14-4 · +8.7u
Season
Efficiency
76.3%
290-90 · +173.6u

Efficiency by Market

Efficiency Season · Moneyline
76.3%
Accuracy 76.3% · Record 290-90 · Units +173.6u · 380 graded games

Last Night (5 decisions · 5 graded · 2026-09-01)

Grinder2
80.0%
4-1 · +2.6u · 5 graded
Takedown
80.0%
4-1 · +2.6u · 5 graded
Edge
80.0%
4-1 · +2.6u · 5 graded
XSharp
80.0%
4-1 · +2.6u · 5 graded
Sharp Consensus
80.0%
4-1 · +2.6u · 5 graded
Efficiency
80.0%
4-1 · +2.6u · 5 graded

Last 7 (18 decisions · 18 graded)

Grinder2
77.8%
14-4 · +8.7u · 18 graded
Takedown
77.8%
14-4 · +8.7u · 18 graded
Edge
77.8%
14-4 · +8.7u · 18 graded
XSharp
72.2%
13-5 · +6.8u · 18 graded
Sharp Consensus
77.8%
14-4 · +8.7u · 18 graded
Efficiency
77.8%
14-4 · +8.7u · 18 graded

Season (380 decisions · 380 graded)

Grinder2
74.2%
282-98 · +158.4u · 380 graded
Takedown
74.7%
284-96 · +162.2u · 380 graded
Edge
75.8%
288-92 · +169.8u · 380 graded
XSharp
74.2%
282-98 · +158.4u · 380 graded
Sharp Consensus
74.7%
284-96 · +162.2u · 380 graded
Efficiency Season
76.3%
290-90 · +173.6u · 380 graded

Consensus Based Betting Records

Moneyline on the pregame majority among the 6 live models. Each row is one dissent combination (model(s) that broke from the majority). 0-0 means that combination had no graded games in the window. Even splits are omitted.

Agreement Last night (2026-09-01) Past 7 days Past 30 days
6/6 unanimous4-1 (80%)13-4 (76%)43-14 (75%)
5/6 — all but Efficiency0-00-03-0 (100%)
5/6 — all but XSharp0-01-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)
4/6 — all but Edge and Efficiency0-00-02-2 (50%)
4/6 — all but Grinder2 and XSharp0-00-03-1 (75%)
📅 2026-09-03
FINAL · 2026-09-01 · Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4
Adam Livingston
W
vs
Hunter Smith
L
Model pick
Adam Livingston
Confidence
57.6%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
54.8%
Adam Livingston
Takedown
56.4%
Adam Livingston
Edge
59.1%
Adam Livingston
XSharp
53.8%
Adam Livingston
Efficiency
59.8%
Adam Livingston
Sharp Consensus
57.6%
Adam Livingston
FINAL · 2026-09-01 · Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4
Charlie Cleveland
L
vs
Gabriel Lourenço
L
Model pick
Gabriel Lourenço
Confidence
61.8%
Result
LOSS
ML grade
LOSS
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
64.6%
Gabriel Lourenço
Takedown
63.0%
Gabriel Lourenço
Edge
60.3%
Gabriel Lourenço
XSharp
65.6%
Gabriel Lourenço
Efficiency
59.6%
Gabriel Lourenço
Sharp Consensus
61.8%
Gabriel Lourenço
FINAL · 2026-09-01 · Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4
Silvestre Sanchez
W
vs
Liam McCracken
L
Model pick
Silvestre Sanchez
Confidence
59.3%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
56.5%
Silvestre Sanchez
Takedown
58.1%
Silvestre Sanchez
Edge
60.8%
Silvestre Sanchez
XSharp
55.5%
Silvestre Sanchez
Efficiency
61.5%
Silvestre Sanchez
Sharp Consensus
59.3%
Silvestre Sanchez
FINAL · 2026-09-01 · Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4
Modestino Rodrigues
W
vs
Brandon Holmes
L
Model pick
Modestino Rodrigues
Confidence
61.8%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
59.0%
Modestino Rodrigues
Takedown
60.6%
Modestino Rodrigues
Edge
63.3%
Modestino Rodrigues
XSharp
58.0%
Modestino Rodrigues
Efficiency
64.0%
Modestino Rodrigues
Sharp Consensus
61.8%
Modestino Rodrigues
FINAL · 2026-09-01 · Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4
Adam Darby
W
vs
Patrick Rivera
L
Model pick
Adam Darby
Confidence
64.0%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
61.2%
Adam Darby
Takedown
62.8%
Adam Darby
Edge
65.5%
Adam Darby
XSharp
60.2%
Adam Darby
Efficiency
66.2%
Adam Darby
Sharp Consensus
64.0%
Adam Darby
FINAL · 2026-08-29 · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
L
vs
Liu Ce
W
Model pick
Liu Ce
Confidence
58.9%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
61.7%
Liu Ce
Takedown
60.1%
Liu Ce
Edge
57.4%
Liu Ce
XSharp
62.7%
Liu Ce
Efficiency
56.7%
Liu Ce
Sharp Consensus
58.9%
Liu Ce
FINAL · 2026-08-29 · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Nilson Rojas
L
vs
Bilal Hasan
W
Model pick
Bilal Hasan
Confidence
59.9%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
62.7%
Bilal Hasan
Takedown
61.1%
Bilal Hasan
Edge
58.4%
Bilal Hasan
XSharp
63.7%
Bilal Hasan
Efficiency
57.7%
Bilal Hasan
Sharp Consensus
59.9%
Bilal Hasan
FINAL · 2026-08-29 · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Kai Asakura
W
vs
Aoriqileng
L
Model pick
Kai Asakura
Confidence
64.6%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
61.8%
Kai Asakura
Takedown
63.4%
Kai Asakura
Edge
66.1%
Kai Asakura
XSharp
60.8%
Kai Asakura
Efficiency
66.8%
Kai Asakura
Sharp Consensus
64.6%
Kai Asakura
FINAL · 2026-08-29 · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Sumudaerji
W
vs
Alex Perez
L
Model pick
Sumudaerji
Confidence
53.4%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
50.6%
Sumudaerji
Takedown
52.2%
Sumudaerji
Edge
54.9%
Sumudaerji
XSharp
50.4%
Alex Perez
Efficiency
55.6%
Sumudaerji
Sharp Consensus
53.4%
Sumudaerji
FINAL · 2026-08-29 · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Denise Gomes
W
vs
Yan Xiaonan
L
Model pick
Denise Gomes
Confidence
54.5%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
51.7%
Denise Gomes
Takedown
53.3%
Denise Gomes
Edge
56.0%
Denise Gomes
XSharp
50.7%
Denise Gomes
Efficiency
56.7%
Denise Gomes
Sharp Consensus
54.5%
Denise Gomes
FINAL · 2026-08-29 · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Song Yadong
W
vs
Umar Nurmagomedov
L
Model pick
Umar Nurmagomedov
Confidence
66.5%
Result
LOSS
ML grade
LOSS
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
69.3%
Umar Nurmagomedov
Takedown
67.7%
Umar Nurmagomedov
Edge
65.0%
Umar Nurmagomedov
XSharp
70.3%
Umar Nurmagomedov
Efficiency
64.3%
Umar Nurmagomedov
Sharp Consensus
66.5%
Umar Nurmagomedov
FINAL · 2026-08-29 · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Cameron Nelson
L
vs
Ding Meng
L
Model pick
Cameron Nelson
Confidence
62.3%
Result
LOSS
ML grade
LOSS
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
59.5%
Cameron Nelson
Takedown
61.1%
Cameron Nelson
Edge
63.8%
Cameron Nelson
XSharp
58.5%
Cameron Nelson
Efficiency
64.5%
Cameron Nelson
Sharp Consensus
62.3%
Cameron Nelson
FINAL · 2026-08-29 · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Hector Santiago
W
vs
Lawrence Lui
L
Model pick
Hector Santiago
Confidence
54.7%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
51.9%
Hector Santiago
Takedown
53.5%
Hector Santiago
Edge
56.2%
Hector Santiago
XSharp
50.9%
Hector Santiago
Efficiency
56.9%
Hector Santiago
Sharp Consensus
54.7%
Hector Santiago
FINAL · 2026-08-29 · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Francesco Nuzzi
W
vs
Xiao Long
L
Model pick
Francesco Nuzzi
Confidence
65.8%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
63.0%
Francesco Nuzzi
Takedown
64.6%
Francesco Nuzzi
Edge
67.3%
Francesco Nuzzi
XSharp
62.0%
Francesco Nuzzi
Efficiency
68.0%
Francesco Nuzzi
Sharp Consensus
65.8%
Francesco Nuzzi
FINAL · 2026-08-29 · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Julia Polastri
W
vs
Jingnan Xiong
L
Model pick
Jingnan Xiong
Confidence
58.2%
Result
LOSS
ML grade
LOSS
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
61.0%
Jingnan Xiong
Takedown
59.4%
Jingnan Xiong
Edge
56.7%
Jingnan Xiong
XSharp
62.0%
Jingnan Xiong
Efficiency
56.0%
Jingnan Xiong
Sharp Consensus
58.2%
Jingnan Xiong
FINAL · 2026-08-29 · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Andre Lima
W
vs
Namsrai Batbayar
L
Model pick
Andre Lima
Confidence
54.8%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
52.0%
Andre Lima
Takedown
53.6%
Andre Lima
Edge
56.3%
Andre Lima
XSharp
51.0%
Andre Lima
Efficiency
57.0%
Andre Lima
Sharp Consensus
54.8%
Andre Lima
FINAL · 2026-08-29 · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Sean Woodson
W
vs
Jack Jenkins
L
Model pick
Sean Woodson
Confidence
59.9%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
57.1%
Sean Woodson
Takedown
58.7%
Sean Woodson
Edge
61.4%
Sean Woodson
XSharp
56.1%
Sean Woodson
Efficiency
62.1%
Sean Woodson
Sharp Consensus
59.9%
Sean Woodson
FINAL · 2026-08-29 · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Kevin Borjas
L
vs
Rei Tsuruya
W
Model pick
Rei Tsuruya
Confidence
71.9%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
74.7%
Rei Tsuruya
Takedown
73.1%
Rei Tsuruya
Edge
70.4%
Rei Tsuruya
XSharp
75.7%
Rei Tsuruya
Efficiency
69.7%
Rei Tsuruya
Sharp Consensus
71.9%
Rei Tsuruya
FINAL · 2026-08-25 · Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 3
Nick Galanti
W
vs
Carlos Petruzzella
L
Model pick
Nick Galanti
Confidence
50.6%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
52.2%
Carlos Petruzzella
Takedown
50.6%
Carlos Petruzzella
Edge
52.1%
Nick Galanti
XSharp
53.2%
Carlos Petruzzella
Efficiency
52.8%
Nick Galanti
Sharp Consensus
50.6%
Nick Galanti
FINAL · 2026-08-25 · Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 3
Alexis Miranda
L
vs
Ronald Humphrey
W
Model pick
Ronald Humphrey
Confidence
70.3%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
73.1%
Ronald Humphrey
Takedown
71.5%
Ronald Humphrey
Edge
68.8%
Ronald Humphrey
XSharp
74.1%
Ronald Humphrey
Efficiency
68.1%
Ronald Humphrey
Sharp Consensus
70.3%
Ronald Humphrey
FINAL · 2026-08-25 · Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 3
Sean Clancy Jr.
W
vs
Gary Balletto
L
Model pick
Sean Clancy Jr.
Confidence
71.5%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
68.7%
Sean Clancy Jr.
Takedown
70.3%
Sean Clancy Jr.
Edge
73.0%
Sean Clancy Jr.
XSharp
67.7%
Sean Clancy Jr.
Efficiency
73.7%
Sean Clancy Jr.
Sharp Consensus
71.5%
Sean Clancy Jr.
FINAL · 2026-08-25 · Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 3
Guilherme Uriel
W
vs
Mario Piazzon
L
Model pick
Mario Piazzon
Confidence
54.9%
Result
LOSS
ML grade
LOSS
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
57.7%
Mario Piazzon
Takedown
56.1%
Mario Piazzon
Edge
53.4%
Mario Piazzon
XSharp
58.7%
Mario Piazzon
Efficiency
52.7%
Mario Piazzon
Sharp Consensus
54.9%
Mario Piazzon
FINAL · 2026-08-25 · Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 3
Alex Apodaca
W
vs
Bella Mir
L
Model pick
Bella Mir
Confidence
50.0%
Result
LOSS
ML grade
LOSS
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
52.8%
Bella Mir
Takedown
51.2%
Bella Mir
Edge
51.5%
Alex Apodaca
XSharp
53.8%
Bella Mir
Efficiency
52.2%
Alex Apodaca
Sharp Consensus
50.0%
Bella Mir
FINAL · 2026-08-22 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Terrance Chatman
L
vs
Anthony Wint
W
Model pick
Anthony Wint
Confidence
73.6%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
76.4%
Anthony Wint
Takedown
74.8%
Anthony Wint
Edge
72.1%
Anthony Wint
XSharp
77.4%
Anthony Wint
Efficiency
71.4%
Anthony Wint
Sharp Consensus
73.6%
Anthony Wint
FINAL · 2026-08-22 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Mason Jones
L
vs
MarQuel Mederos
W
Model pick
MarQuel Mederos
Confidence
50.9%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
53.7%
MarQuel Mederos
Takedown
52.1%
MarQuel Mederos
Edge
50.6%
Mason Jones
XSharp
54.7%
MarQuel Mederos
Efficiency
51.3%
Mason Jones
Sharp Consensus
50.9%
MarQuel Mederos
FINAL · 2026-08-22 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Vitor Petrino
W
vs
Serghei Spivac
L
Model pick
Vitor Petrino
Confidence
63.2%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
60.5%
Vitor Petrino
Takedown
62.1%
Vitor Petrino
Edge
64.8%
Vitor Petrino
XSharp
59.5%
Vitor Petrino
Efficiency
65.5%
Vitor Petrino
Sharp Consensus
63.3%
Vitor Petrino
FINAL · 2026-08-22 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Roman Dolidze
L
vs
Reinier de Ridder
W
Model pick
Reinier de Ridder
Confidence
60.8%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
63.6%
Reinier de Ridder
Takedown
62.0%
Reinier de Ridder
Edge
59.3%
Reinier de Ridder
XSharp
64.6%
Reinier de Ridder
Efficiency
58.6%
Reinier de Ridder
Sharp Consensus
60.8%
Reinier de Ridder
FINAL · 2026-08-22 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Jeisla Chaves
L
vs
Carli Judice
W
Model pick
Jeisla Chaves
Confidence
59.6%
Result
LOSS
ML grade
LOSS
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
56.8%
Jeisla Chaves
Takedown
58.4%
Jeisla Chaves
Edge
61.1%
Jeisla Chaves
XSharp
55.8%
Jeisla Chaves
Efficiency
61.8%
Jeisla Chaves
Sharp Consensus
59.6%
Jeisla Chaves
FINAL · 2026-08-22 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Gregory Rodrigues
W
vs
Anthony Hernandez
L
Model pick
Gregory Rodrigues
Confidence
52.3%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
50.5%
Anthony Hernandez
Takedown
51.1%
Gregory Rodrigues
Edge
53.8%
Gregory Rodrigues
XSharp
51.5%
Anthony Hernandez
Efficiency
54.5%
Gregory Rodrigues
Sharp Consensus
52.3%
Gregory Rodrigues
FINAL · 2026-08-22 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Lerryan Douglas
L
vs
Jamall Emmers
W
Model pick
Jamall Emmers
Confidence
51.6%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
54.4%
Jamall Emmers
Takedown
52.8%
Jamall Emmers
Edge
50.1%
Jamall Emmers
XSharp
55.4%
Jamall Emmers
Efficiency
50.6%
Lerryan Douglas
Sharp Consensus
51.6%
Jamall Emmers
FINAL · 2026-08-22 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Ryan Kuse
L
vs
Marcio Barbosa
W
Model pick
Marcio Barbosa
Confidence
64.1%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
66.9%
Marcio Barbosa
Takedown
65.3%
Marcio Barbosa
Edge
62.6%
Marcio Barbosa
XSharp
67.9%
Marcio Barbosa
Efficiency
61.9%
Marcio Barbosa
Sharp Consensus
64.1%
Marcio Barbosa
FINAL · 2026-08-22 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Nasrat Haqparast
L
vs
Chris Padilla
W
Model pick
Chris Padilla
Confidence
51.7%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
54.5%
Chris Padilla
Takedown
52.9%
Chris Padilla
Edge
50.2%
Chris Padilla
XSharp
55.5%
Chris Padilla
Efficiency
50.5%
Nasrat Haqparast
Sharp Consensus
51.7%
Chris Padilla
FINAL · 2026-08-22 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Stan Dorsainvil
W
vs
Gauge Young
L
Model pick
Stan Dorsainvil
Confidence
70.1%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
67.3%
Stan Dorsainvil
Takedown
68.9%
Stan Dorsainvil
Edge
71.6%
Stan Dorsainvil
XSharp
66.3%
Stan Dorsainvil
Efficiency
72.3%
Stan Dorsainvil
Sharp Consensus
70.1%
Stan Dorsainvil
FINAL · 2026-08-22 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Elise Reed
L
vs
Shanelle Dyer
W
Model pick
Shanelle Dyer
Confidence
75.7%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
78.5%
Shanelle Dyer
Takedown
76.9%
Shanelle Dyer
Edge
74.2%
Shanelle Dyer
XSharp
79.5%
Shanelle Dyer
Efficiency
73.5%
Shanelle Dyer
Sharp Consensus
75.7%
Shanelle Dyer
FINAL · 2026-08-22 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Jackson McVey
W
vs
Wes Schultz
L
Model pick
Jackson McVey
Confidence
59.9%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
57.1%
Jackson McVey
Takedown
58.7%
Jackson McVey
Edge
61.4%
Jackson McVey
XSharp
56.1%
Jackson McVey
Efficiency
62.1%
Jackson McVey
Sharp Consensus
59.9%
Jackson McVey
FINAL · 2026-08-22 · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Shamil Gaziev
W
vs
Kennedy Nzechukwu
L
Model pick
Shamil Gaziev
Confidence
62.9%
Result
WIN
ML grade
WIN
Pick Confidence
Grinder2
60.1%
Shamil Gaziev
Takedown
61.7%
Shamil Gaziev
Edge
64.4%
Shamil Gaziev
XSharp
59.1%
Shamil Gaziev
Efficiency
65.1%
Shamil Gaziev
Sharp Consensus
62.9%
Shamil Gaziev
Share on social media