🥊 UFC Results, Performance and Model Accuracy
Track graded UFC results — moneyline performance across Last Night, Last 7, and Season records after events are final.
Best Performing Model
Today
Grinder2
80.0%
4-1
Last 7
Grinder2
77.8%
14-4
Season
Efficiency
76.3%
290-90
Last Night (5 games)
Grinder2
80.0%
4-1
Takedown
80.0%
4-1
Edge
80.0%
4-1
XSharp
80.0%
4-1
Sharp Consensus
80.0%
4-1
Efficiency
80.0%
4-1
Last 7 (18 games)
Grinder2
77.8%
14-4
Takedown
77.8%
14-4
Edge
77.8%
14-4
XSharp
72.2%
13-5
Sharp Consensus
77.8%
14-4
Efficiency
77.8%
14-4
Season (380 games)
Grinder2
74.2%
282-98
Takedown
74.7%
284-96
Edge
75.8%
288-92
XSharp
74.2%
282-98
Sharp Consensus
74.7%
284-96
Efficiency
76.3%
290-90
Consensus Based Betting Records
Moneyline on the pregame majority among the 6 live models. Each row is one dissent combination (model(s) that broke from the majority). 0-0 means that combination had no graded games in the window. Even splits are omitted.
| Agreement | Last night (2026-09-01) | Past 7 days | Past 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6/6 unanimous | 4-1 (80%) | 13-4 (76%) | 43-14 (75%) |
| 5/6 — all but Efficiency | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-0 (100%) |
| 5/6 — all but XSharp | 0-0 | 1-0 (100%) | 1-0 (100%) |
| 4/6 — all but Edge and Efficiency | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 (50%) |
| 4/6 — all but Grinder2 and XSharp | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-1 (75%) |
Moneyline games (40)
| Date | League | Match | Score | Edge pick | % | Result | Models |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | UFC | Adam Livingston @ Hunter Smith | L–W | Adam Livingston | 57.6% | Correct | Grinder2 Adam Livingston ✓ Takedown Adam Livingston ✓ Edge Adam Livingston ✓ XSharp Adam Livingston ✓ Sharp Consensus Adam Livingston ✓ Efficiency Adam Livingston ✓ |
| 2026-09-01 | UFC | Charlie Cleveland @ Gabriel Lourenço | L–L | Gabriel Lourenço | 61.8% | Wrong | Grinder2 Gabriel Lourenço ✗ Takedown Gabriel Lourenço ✗ Edge Gabriel Lourenço ✗ XSharp Gabriel Lourenço ✗ Sharp Consensus Gabriel Lourenço ✗ Efficiency Gabriel Lourenço ✗ |
| 2026-09-01 | UFC | Silvestre Sanchez @ Liam McCracken | L–W | Silvestre Sanchez | 59.3% | Correct | Grinder2 Silvestre Sanchez ✓ Takedown Silvestre Sanchez ✓ Edge Silvestre Sanchez ✓ XSharp Silvestre Sanchez ✓ Sharp Consensus Silvestre Sanchez ✓ Efficiency Silvestre Sanchez ✓ |
| 2026-09-01 | UFC | Modestino Rodrigues @ Brandon Holmes | L–W | Modestino Rodrigues | 61.8% | Correct | Grinder2 Modestino Rodrigues ✓ Takedown Modestino Rodrigues ✓ Edge Modestino Rodrigues ✓ XSharp Modestino Rodrigues ✓ Sharp Consensus Modestino Rodrigues ✓ Efficiency Modestino Rodrigues ✓ |
| 2026-09-01 | UFC | Adam Darby @ Patrick Rivera | L–W | Adam Darby | 64.0% | Correct | Grinder2 Adam Darby ✓ Takedown Adam Darby ✓ Edge Adam Darby ✓ XSharp Adam Darby ✓ Sharp Consensus Adam Darby ✓ Efficiency Adam Darby ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | UFC | Levi Rodrigues Jr. @ Liu Ce | W–L | Liu Ce | 58.9% | Correct | Grinder2 Liu Ce ✓ Takedown Liu Ce ✓ Edge Liu Ce ✓ XSharp Liu Ce ✓ Sharp Consensus Liu Ce ✓ Efficiency Liu Ce ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | UFC | Nilson Rojas @ Bilal Hasan | W–L | Bilal Hasan | 59.9% | Correct | Grinder2 Bilal Hasan ✓ Takedown Bilal Hasan ✓ Edge Bilal Hasan ✓ XSharp Bilal Hasan ✓ Sharp Consensus Bilal Hasan ✓ Efficiency Bilal Hasan ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | UFC | Kai Asakura @ Aoriqileng | L–W | Kai Asakura | 64.6% | Correct | Grinder2 Kai Asakura ✓ Takedown Kai Asakura ✓ Edge Kai Asakura ✓ XSharp Kai Asakura ✓ Sharp Consensus Kai Asakura ✓ Efficiency Kai Asakura ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | UFC | Sumudaerji @ Alex Perez | L–W | Sumudaerji | 53.4% | Correct | Grinder2 Sumudaerji ✓ Takedown Sumudaerji ✓ Edge Sumudaerji ✓ XSharp Alex Perez ✗ Sharp Consensus Sumudaerji ✓ Efficiency Sumudaerji ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | UFC | Denise Gomes @ Yan Xiaonan | L–W | Denise Gomes | 54.5% | Correct | Grinder2 Denise Gomes ✓ Takedown Denise Gomes ✓ Edge Denise Gomes ✓ XSharp Denise Gomes ✓ Sharp Consensus Denise Gomes ✓ Efficiency Denise Gomes ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | UFC | Song Yadong @ Umar Nurmagomedov | L–W | Umar Nurmagomedov | 66.5% | Wrong | Grinder2 Umar Nurmagomedov ✗ Takedown Umar Nurmagomedov ✗ Edge Umar Nurmagomedov ✗ XSharp Umar Nurmagomedov ✗ Sharp Consensus Umar Nurmagomedov ✗ Efficiency Umar Nurmagomedov ✗ |
| 2026-08-29 | UFC | Cameron Nelson @ Ding Meng | L–L | Cameron Nelson | 62.3% | Wrong | Grinder2 Cameron Nelson ✗ Takedown Cameron Nelson ✗ Edge Cameron Nelson ✗ XSharp Cameron Nelson ✗ Sharp Consensus Cameron Nelson ✗ Efficiency Cameron Nelson ✗ |
| 2026-08-29 | UFC | Hector Santiago @ Lawrence Lui | L–W | Hector Santiago | 54.7% | Correct | Grinder2 Hector Santiago ✓ Takedown Hector Santiago ✓ Edge Hector Santiago ✓ XSharp Hector Santiago ✓ Sharp Consensus Hector Santiago ✓ Efficiency Hector Santiago ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | UFC | Francesco Nuzzi @ Xiao Long | L–W | Francesco Nuzzi | 65.8% | Correct | Grinder2 Francesco Nuzzi ✓ Takedown Francesco Nuzzi ✓ Edge Francesco Nuzzi ✓ XSharp Francesco Nuzzi ✓ Sharp Consensus Francesco Nuzzi ✓ Efficiency Francesco Nuzzi ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | UFC | Julia Polastri @ Jingnan Xiong | L–W | Jingnan Xiong | 58.2% | Wrong | Grinder2 Jingnan Xiong ✗ Takedown Jingnan Xiong ✗ Edge Jingnan Xiong ✗ XSharp Jingnan Xiong ✗ Sharp Consensus Jingnan Xiong ✗ Efficiency Jingnan Xiong ✗ |
| 2026-08-29 | UFC | Andre Lima @ Namsrai Batbayar | L–W | Andre Lima | 54.8% | Correct | Grinder2 Andre Lima ✓ Takedown Andre Lima ✓ Edge Andre Lima ✓ XSharp Andre Lima ✓ Sharp Consensus Andre Lima ✓ Efficiency Andre Lima ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | UFC | Sean Woodson @ Jack Jenkins | L–W | Sean Woodson | 59.9% | Correct | Grinder2 Sean Woodson ✓ Takedown Sean Woodson ✓ Edge Sean Woodson ✓ XSharp Sean Woodson ✓ Sharp Consensus Sean Woodson ✓ Efficiency Sean Woodson ✓ |
| 2026-08-29 | UFC | Kevin Borjas @ Rei Tsuruya | W–L | Rei Tsuruya | 71.9% | Correct | Grinder2 Rei Tsuruya ✓ Takedown Rei Tsuruya ✓ Edge Rei Tsuruya ✓ XSharp Rei Tsuruya ✓ Sharp Consensus Rei Tsuruya ✓ Efficiency Rei Tsuruya ✓ |
| 2026-08-25 | UFC | Nick Galanti @ Carlos Petruzzella | L–W | Nick Galanti | 50.6% | Correct | Grinder2 Carlos Petruzzella ✗ Takedown Carlos Petruzzella ✗ Edge Nick Galanti ✓ XSharp Carlos Petruzzella ✗ Sharp Consensus Nick Galanti ✓ Efficiency Nick Galanti ✓ |
| 2026-08-25 | UFC | Alexis Miranda @ Ronald Humphrey | W–L | Ronald Humphrey | 70.3% | Correct | Grinder2 Ronald Humphrey ✓ Takedown Ronald Humphrey ✓ Edge Ronald Humphrey ✓ XSharp Ronald Humphrey ✓ Sharp Consensus Ronald Humphrey ✓ Efficiency Ronald Humphrey ✓ |
| 2026-08-25 | UFC | Sean Clancy Jr. @ Gary Balletto | L–W | Sean Clancy Jr. | 71.5% | Correct | Grinder2 Sean Clancy Jr. ✓ Takedown Sean Clancy Jr. ✓ Edge Sean Clancy Jr. ✓ XSharp Sean Clancy Jr. ✓ Sharp Consensus Sean Clancy Jr. ✓ Efficiency Sean Clancy Jr. ✓ |
| 2026-08-25 | UFC | Guilherme Uriel @ Mario Piazzon | L–W | Mario Piazzon | 54.9% | Wrong | Grinder2 Mario Piazzon ✗ Takedown Mario Piazzon ✗ Edge Mario Piazzon ✗ XSharp Mario Piazzon ✗ Sharp Consensus Mario Piazzon ✗ Efficiency Mario Piazzon ✗ |
| 2026-08-25 | UFC | Alex Apodaca @ Bella Mir | L–W | Bella Mir | 50.0% | Wrong | Grinder2 Bella Mir ✗ Takedown Bella Mir ✗ Edge Alex Apodaca ✓ XSharp Bella Mir ✗ Sharp Consensus Bella Mir ✗ Efficiency Alex Apodaca ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC | Terrance Chatman @ Anthony Wint | W–L | Anthony Wint | 73.6% | Correct | Grinder2 Anthony Wint ✓ Takedown Anthony Wint ✓ Edge Anthony Wint ✓ XSharp Anthony Wint ✓ Sharp Consensus Anthony Wint ✓ Efficiency Anthony Wint ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC | Mason Jones @ MarQuel Mederos | W–L | MarQuel Mederos | 50.9% | Correct | Grinder2 MarQuel Mederos ✓ Takedown MarQuel Mederos ✓ Edge Mason Jones ✗ XSharp MarQuel Mederos ✓ Sharp Consensus MarQuel Mederos ✓ Efficiency Mason Jones ✗ |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC | Vitor Petrino @ Serghei Spivac | L–W | Vitor Petrino | 63.3% | Correct | Grinder2 Vitor Petrino ✓ Takedown Vitor Petrino ✓ Edge Vitor Petrino ✓ XSharp Vitor Petrino ✓ Sharp Consensus Vitor Petrino ✓ Efficiency Vitor Petrino ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC | Roman Dolidze @ Reinier de Ridder | W–L | Reinier de Ridder | 60.8% | Correct | Grinder2 Reinier de Ridder ✓ Takedown Reinier de Ridder ✓ Edge Reinier de Ridder ✓ XSharp Reinier de Ridder ✓ Sharp Consensus Reinier de Ridder ✓ Efficiency Reinier de Ridder ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC | Jeisla Chaves @ Carli Judice | W–L | Jeisla Chaves | 59.6% | Wrong | Grinder2 Jeisla Chaves ✗ Takedown Jeisla Chaves ✗ Edge Jeisla Chaves ✗ XSharp Jeisla Chaves ✗ Sharp Consensus Jeisla Chaves ✗ Efficiency Jeisla Chaves ✗ |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC | Gregory Rodrigues @ Anthony Hernandez | L–W | Gregory Rodrigues | 52.3% | Correct | Grinder2 Anthony Hernandez ✗ Takedown Gregory Rodrigues ✓ Edge Gregory Rodrigues ✓ XSharp Anthony Hernandez ✗ Sharp Consensus Gregory Rodrigues ✓ Efficiency Gregory Rodrigues ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC | Lerryan Douglas @ Jamall Emmers | W–L | Jamall Emmers | 51.6% | Correct | Grinder2 Jamall Emmers ✓ Takedown Jamall Emmers ✓ Edge Jamall Emmers ✓ XSharp Jamall Emmers ✓ Sharp Consensus Jamall Emmers ✓ Efficiency Lerryan Douglas ✗ |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC | Ryan Kuse @ Marcio Barbosa | W–L | Marcio Barbosa | 64.1% | Correct | Grinder2 Marcio Barbosa ✓ Takedown Marcio Barbosa ✓ Edge Marcio Barbosa ✓ XSharp Marcio Barbosa ✓ Sharp Consensus Marcio Barbosa ✓ Efficiency Marcio Barbosa ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC | Nasrat Haqparast @ Chris Padilla | W–L | Chris Padilla | 51.7% | Correct | Grinder2 Chris Padilla ✓ Takedown Chris Padilla ✓ Edge Chris Padilla ✓ XSharp Chris Padilla ✓ Sharp Consensus Chris Padilla ✓ Efficiency Nasrat Haqparast ✗ |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC | Stan Dorsainvil @ Gauge Young | L–W | Stan Dorsainvil | 70.1% | Correct | Grinder2 Stan Dorsainvil ✓ Takedown Stan Dorsainvil ✓ Edge Stan Dorsainvil ✓ XSharp Stan Dorsainvil ✓ Sharp Consensus Stan Dorsainvil ✓ Efficiency Stan Dorsainvil ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC | Elise Reed @ Shanelle Dyer | W–L | Shanelle Dyer | 75.7% | Correct | Grinder2 Shanelle Dyer ✓ Takedown Shanelle Dyer ✓ Edge Shanelle Dyer ✓ XSharp Shanelle Dyer ✓ Sharp Consensus Shanelle Dyer ✓ Efficiency Shanelle Dyer ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC | Jackson McVey @ Wes Schultz | L–W | Jackson McVey | 59.9% | Correct | Grinder2 Jackson McVey ✓ Takedown Jackson McVey ✓ Edge Jackson McVey ✓ XSharp Jackson McVey ✓ Sharp Consensus Jackson McVey ✓ Efficiency Jackson McVey ✓ |
| 2026-08-22 | UFC | Shamil Gaziev @ Kennedy Nzechukwu | L–W | Shamil Gaziev | 62.9% | Correct | Grinder2 Shamil Gaziev ✓ Takedown Shamil Gaziev ✓ Edge Shamil Gaziev ✓ XSharp Shamil Gaziev ✓ Sharp Consensus Shamil Gaziev ✓ Efficiency Shamil Gaziev ✓ |
| 2026-08-18 | UFC | Kaik Brito @ Namo Fazil | L–W | Namo Fazil | 55.5% | Wrong | Grinder2 Namo Fazil ✗ Takedown Namo Fazil ✗ Edge Namo Fazil ✗ XSharp Namo Fazil ✗ Sharp Consensus Namo Fazil ✗ Efficiency Namo Fazil ✗ |
| 2026-08-18 | UFC | Trent Miller @ Douglas Rodrigues | L–W | Douglas Rodrigues | 50.7% | Wrong | Grinder2 Douglas Rodrigues ✗ Takedown Douglas Rodrigues ✗ Edge Trent Miller ✓ XSharp Douglas Rodrigues ✗ Sharp Consensus Douglas Rodrigues ✗ Efficiency Trent Miller ✓ |
| 2026-08-18 | UFC | Logan Paxton @ Cristian Perez | L–L | Logan Paxton | 54.2% | Wrong | Grinder2 Logan Paxton ✗ Takedown Logan Paxton ✗ Edge Logan Paxton ✗ XSharp Logan Paxton ✗ Sharp Consensus Logan Paxton ✗ Efficiency Logan Paxton ✗ |
| 2026-08-18 | UFC | Mahamed Aly @ Alik Lorenz | W–L | Alik Lorenz | 57.4% | Correct | Grinder2 Alik Lorenz ✓ Takedown Alik Lorenz ✓ Edge Alik Lorenz ✓ XSharp Alik Lorenz ✓ Sharp Consensus Alik Lorenz ✓ Efficiency Alik Lorenz ✓ |
