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Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, Odds & Preview — Oct. 1, 2026

· MLB

Boston Red Sox visit the New York Yankees on October 1, 2026.

Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives New York Yankees a 59.2% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.

Game information

DateOctober 1, 2026
AwayBoston Red Sox
HomeNew York Yankees

Model moneyline

ModelSideProb
Grinder2 New York Yankees 62.1%
Takedown New York Yankees 62.8%
Edge New York Yankees 50.0%
XSharp New York Yankees 54.0%
Efficiency New York Yankees 100.0%
Sharp Consensus New York Yankees 59.2%

Sharp Consensus: New York Yankees (59.2%)

Markets & projections

Prediction Lab proj2–7
XSharp proj2.5–3.5
PL total9
XSharp total6
XSharp run line+0.5
H2H8.8 combined runs over 5 meetings

Why the models split

6 of 6 models with a stored probability lean New York Yankees: Grinder2 (62.1%), Takedown (62.8%), Edge (50.0%), XSharp (54.0%), Efficiency (100.0%), Sharp Consensus (59.2%).

Takeaway

This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees board for October 1, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is New York Yankees at 59.2%. Use the MLB picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.

Prediction Lab model outputs are statistical estimates from the stored board. They are not guarantees, not betting advice, and can miss.
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