Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, Odds & Preview — Oct. 1, 2026
Boston Red Sox visit the New York Yankees on October 1, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives New York Yankees a 59.2% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | October 1, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | Boston Red Sox |
| Home | New York Yankees |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | New York Yankees | 62.1% |
| Takedown | New York Yankees | 62.8% |
| Edge | New York Yankees | 50.0% |
| XSharp | New York Yankees | 54.0% |
| Efficiency | New York Yankees | 100.0% |
| Sharp Consensus | New York Yankees | 59.2% |
Sharp Consensus: New York Yankees (59.2%)
Markets & projections
| Prediction Lab proj | 2–7 |
|---|---|
| XSharp proj | 2.5–3.5 |
| PL total | 9 |
| XSharp total | 6 |
| XSharp run line | +0.5 |
| H2H | 8.8 combined runs over 5 meetings |
Why the models split
6 of 6 models with a stored probability lean New York Yankees: Grinder2 (62.1%), Takedown (62.8%), Edge (50.0%), XSharp (54.0%), Efficiency (100.0%), Sharp Consensus (59.2%).
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees board for October 1, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is New York Yankees at 59.2%. Use the MLB picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.