Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds & Preview — Nov. 16, 2026
Houston Rockets visit the Miami Heat on November 16, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Houston Rockets a 62.5% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | November 16, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | Houston Rockets |
| Home | Miami Heat |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | Houston Rockets | 56.8% |
| Takedown | Houston Rockets | 65.4% |
| Edge | Houston Rockets | 66.2% |
| XSharp | Houston Rockets | 63.6% |
| Sharp Consensus | Houston Rockets | 62.5% |
Sharp Consensus: Houston Rockets (62.5%)
Markets & projections
| XSharp proj | 113–110 |
|---|---|
| PL total | 217.5 |
| XSharp total | 224 |
| XSharp run line | -3 |
| H2H | 220 combined runs over 1 meetings |
Why the models split
5 of 5 models with a stored probability lean Houston Rockets: Grinder2 (56.8%), Takedown (65.4%), Edge (66.2%), XSharp (63.6%), Sharp Consensus (62.5%).
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: Houston Rockets -186, Miami Heat +156. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat board for November 16, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Houston Rockets at 62.5%. Use the NBA picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
