Ball State Cardinals vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, Odds & Preview — Nov. 13, 2026
Ball State Cardinals visit the SMU Mustangs on November 13, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives SMU Mustangs a 93.3% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | November 13, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | Ball State Cardinals |
| Home | SMU Mustangs |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | SMU Mustangs | 95.1% |
| Takedown | SMU Mustangs | 99.7% |
| Edge | SMU Mustangs | 67.9% |
| XSharp | SMU Mustangs | 98.6% |
| Sharp Consensus | SMU Mustangs | 93.3% |
Sharp Consensus: SMU Mustangs (93.3%)
Markets & projections
| XSharp proj | 86–63 |
|---|---|
| PL total | 142.5 |
| XSharp total | 148.5 |
| XSharp run line | -23.5 |
Why the models split
5 of 5 models with a stored probability lean SMU Mustangs: Grinder2 (95.1%), Takedown (99.7%), Edge (67.9%), XSharp (98.6%), Sharp Consensus (93.3%).
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: Ball State Cardinals +1000, SMU Mustangs -1000. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Ball State Cardinals vs SMU Mustangs board for November 13, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is SMU Mustangs at 93.3%. Use the NCAAB picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
