Iona Gaels vs UMBC Retrievers Prediction, Odds & Preview — Nov. 16, 2026
Iona Gaels visit the UMBC Retrievers on November 16, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Iona Gaels a 69.9% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | November 16, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | Iona Gaels |
| Home | UMBC Retrievers |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | Iona Gaels | 54.3% |
| Takedown | Iona Gaels | 71.8% |
| Edge | Iona Gaels | 54.0% |
| XSharp | Iona Gaels | 95.8% |
| Sharp Consensus | Iona Gaels | 69.9% |
Sharp Consensus: Iona Gaels (69.9%)
Markets & projections
| XSharp proj | 75–69 |
|---|---|
| PL total | 149.5 |
| XSharp total | 144 |
| XSharp run line | -6 |
Why the models split
5 of 5 models with a stored probability lean Iona Gaels: Grinder2 (54.3%), Takedown (71.8%), Edge (54.0%), XSharp (95.8%), Sharp Consensus (69.9%).
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: Iona Gaels -266, UMBC Retrievers +219. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Iona Gaels vs UMBC Retrievers board for November 16, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Iona Gaels at 69.9%. Use the NCAAB picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
