Texas State Bobcats vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Prediction, Odds & Preview — Nov. 10, 2026
Texas State Bobcats visit the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros on November 10, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Texas State Bobcats a 67.4% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | November 10, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | Texas State Bobcats |
| Home | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | Texas State Bobcats | 65.6% |
| Takedown | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 50.1% |
| Edge | Texas State Bobcats | 58.5% |
| XSharp | Texas State Bobcats | 96.0% |
| Sharp Consensus | Texas State Bobcats | 67.4% |
Sharp Consensus: Texas State Bobcats (67.4%)
Markets & projections
| XSharp proj | 66–68 |
|---|---|
| PL total | 145 |
| XSharp total | 134.5 |
| XSharp run line | +2 |
| H2H | 137 combined runs over 1 meetings |
Why the models split
The stored models split on this moneyline. Texas State Bobcats: Grinder2 (65.6%), Edge (58.5%), XSharp (96.0%), Sharp Consensus (67.4%) UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: Takedown (50.1%).
Sharp Consensus leans Texas State Bobcats, while Takedown lean the other way on the stored probabilities.
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: Texas State Bobcats -234, UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros +195. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Texas State Bobcats vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros board for November 10, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Texas State Bobcats at 67.4%. Use the NCAAB picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
