UMBC Retrievers vs Marist Red Foxes Prediction, Odds & Preview — Nov. 5, 2026
UMBC Retrievers visit the Marist Red Foxes on November 5, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Marist Red Foxes a 77.5% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | November 5, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | UMBC Retrievers |
| Home | Marist Red Foxes |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | Marist Red Foxes | 73.4% |
| Takedown | Marist Red Foxes | 79.2% |
| Edge | Marist Red Foxes | 55.8% |
| XSharp | Marist Red Foxes | 96.6% |
| Sharp Consensus | Marist Red Foxes | 77.5% |
Sharp Consensus: Marist Red Foxes (77.5%)
Markets & projections
| PL total | 134.5 |
|---|---|
| XSharp total | 132.5 |
| XSharp run line | +1.5 |
Why the models split
5 of 5 models with a stored probability lean Marist Red Foxes: Grinder2 (73.4%), Takedown (79.2%), Edge (55.8%), XSharp (96.6%), Sharp Consensus (77.5%).
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: UMBC Retrievers +327, Marist Red Foxes -415. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored UMBC Retrievers vs Marist Red Foxes board for November 5, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Marist Red Foxes at 77.5%. Use the NCAAB picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
