North Texas Mean Green vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction, Odds & Preview — Sep. 19, 2026
North Texas Mean Green visit the Texas State Bobcats on September 19, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives North Texas Mean Green a 88.3% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | September 19, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | North Texas Mean Green |
| Home | Texas State Bobcats |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | North Texas Mean Green | 91.8% |
| Takedown | North Texas Mean Green | 97.5% |
| Edge | Texas State Bobcats | 50.0% |
| XSharp | North Texas Mean Green | 96.0% |
| Sharp Consensus | North Texas Mean Green | 88.3% |
Sharp Consensus: North Texas Mean Green (88.3%)
Markets & projections
| Prediction Lab proj | 38.5–31 |
|---|---|
| XSharp proj | 38.5–31 |
| PL total | 69.5 |
| XSharp total | 69.5 |
| XSharp run line | -8 |
Why the models split
The stored models split on this moneyline. North Texas Mean Green: Grinder2 (91.8%), Takedown (97.5%), XSharp (96.0%), Sharp Consensus (88.3%) Texas State Bobcats: Edge (50.0%).
Sharp Consensus leans North Texas Mean Green, while Edge lean the other way on the stored probabilities.
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: North Texas Mean Green -1000, Texas State Bobcats +722. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored North Texas Mean Green vs Texas State Bobcats board for September 19, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is North Texas Mean Green at 88.3%. Use the NCAAF picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
