Louisville Cardinals vs Ball State Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Preview — Nov. 12, 2026
Louisville Cardinals visit the Ball State Cardinals on November 12, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Louisville Cardinals a 91.1% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | November 12, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | Louisville Cardinals |
| Home | Ball State Cardinals |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | Louisville Cardinals | 95.3% |
| Takedown | Louisville Cardinals | 70.0% |
| Edge | Louisville Cardinals | 55.5% |
| XSharp | Louisville Cardinals | 97.1% |
| Sharp Consensus | Louisville Cardinals | 91.1% |
Sharp Consensus: Louisville Cardinals (91.1%)
Markets & projections
| XSharp proj | 77–71 |
|---|---|
| PL total | 151.5 |
| XSharp total | 147.5 |
| XSharp run line | -6 |
Why the models split
5 of 5 models with a stored probability lean Louisville Cardinals: Grinder2 (95.3%), Takedown (70.0%), Edge (55.5%), XSharp (97.1%), Sharp Consensus (91.1%).
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: Louisville Cardinals -1000, Ball State Cardinals +980. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Louisville Cardinals vs Ball State Cardinals board for November 12, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Louisville Cardinals at 91.1%. Use the NCAAW picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
