New York Jets vs Chicago Bears Prediction, Odds & Preview — Oct. 4, 2026
New York Jets visit the Chicago Bears on October 4, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Chicago Bears a 82.1% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | October 4, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | New York Jets |
| Home | Chicago Bears |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | Chicago Bears | 85.2% |
| Takedown | Chicago Bears | 84.3% |
| Edge | Chicago Bears | 50.0% |
| XSharp | Chicago Bears | 95.1% |
| Sharp Consensus | Chicago Bears | 82.1% |
Sharp Consensus: Chicago Bears (82.1%)
Markets & projections
| Prediction Lab proj | 21.9–25.4 |
|---|---|
| XSharp proj | 17–26 |
| XSharp total | 43.5 |
| XSharp run line | +9.5 |
Why the models split
5 of 5 models with a stored probability lean Chicago Bears: Grinder2 (85.2%), Takedown (84.3%), Edge (50.0%), XSharp (95.1%), Sharp Consensus (82.1%).
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: New York Jets +133, Chicago Bears -161. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored New York Jets vs Chicago Bears board for October 4, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Chicago Bears at 82.1%. Use the NFL picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
