New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Prediction, Odds & Preview — Oct. 22, 2026
New England Patriots visit the Chicago Bears on October 22, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives New England Patriots a 70.5% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | October 22, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | New England Patriots |
| Home | Chicago Bears |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | New England Patriots | 65.6% |
| Takedown | New England Patriots | 75.1% |
| Edge | Chicago Bears | 50.0% |
| XSharp | New England Patriots | 83.0% |
| Sharp Consensus | New England Patriots | 70.5% |
Sharp Consensus: New England Patriots (70.5%)
Markets & projections
| Prediction Lab proj | 24–16 |
|---|---|
| XSharp proj | 24–16 |
| PL total | 40 |
| XSharp total | 40 |
| XSharp run line | -7.5 |
Why the models split
The stored models split on this moneyline. New England Patriots: Grinder2 (65.6%), Takedown (75.1%), XSharp (83.0%), Sharp Consensus (70.5%) Chicago Bears: Edge (50.0%).
Sharp Consensus leans New England Patriots, while Edge lean the other way on the stored probabilities.
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: New England Patriots -275, Chicago Bears +226. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears board for October 22, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is New England Patriots at 70.5%. Use the NFL picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
