New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Odds & Preview — Nov. 1, 2026
New England Patriots visit the Miami Dolphins on November 1, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives New England Patriots a 76.7% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | November 1, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | New England Patriots |
| Home | Miami Dolphins |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | New England Patriots | 78.1% |
| Takedown | New England Patriots | 83.0% |
| Edge | Miami Dolphins | 50.0% |
| XSharp | New England Patriots | 83.7% |
| Sharp Consensus | New England Patriots | 76.7% |
Sharp Consensus: New England Patriots (76.7%)
Markets & projections
| XSharp proj | 27–17 |
|---|---|
| PL total | 54 |
| XSharp total | 43.5 |
| XSharp run line | -10 |
| H2H | 54 combined runs over 2 meetings |
Why the models split
The stored models split on this moneyline. New England Patriots: Grinder2 (78.1%), Takedown (83.0%), XSharp (83.7%), Sharp Consensus (76.7%) Miami Dolphins: Edge (50.0%).
Sharp Consensus leans New England Patriots, while Edge lean the other way on the stored probabilities.
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: New England Patriots -374, Miami Dolphins +291. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins board for November 1, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is New England Patriots at 76.7%. Use the NFL picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
