Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Prediction, Odds & Preview — Sep. 26, 2026
Tampa Bay Lightning visit the Florida Panthers on September 26, 2026, listed for 2026-09-26T22:00Z at Amerant Bank Arena.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Tampa Bay Lightning a 70.5% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | September 26, 2026 · 2026-09-26T22:00Z |
|---|---|
| Venue | Amerant Bank Arena |
| Away | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Home | Florida Panthers |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 69.5% |
| Takedown | Tampa Bay Lightning | 71.1% |
| Edge | Florida Panthers | 50.0% |
| XSharp | Tampa Bay Lightning | 83.2% |
| Sharp Consensus | Tampa Bay Lightning | 70.5% |
Sharp Consensus: Tampa Bay Lightning (70.5%)
Markets & projections
| Prediction Lab proj | 3–2.5 |
|---|---|
| XSharp proj | 2.5–3 |
Why the models split
The stored models split on this moneyline. Tampa Bay Lightning: Grinder2 (69.5%), Takedown (71.1%), XSharp (83.2%), Sharp Consensus (70.5%) Florida Panthers: Edge (50.0%).
Sharp Consensus leans Tampa Bay Lightning, while Edge lean the other way on the stored probabilities.
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: Tampa Bay Lightning -275, Florida Panthers +226. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers board for September 26, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Tampa Bay Lightning at 70.5%. Use the NHL picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
