Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Odds & Preview — Sep. 24, 2026
Florida Panthers visit the Tampa Bay Lightning on September 24, 2026, listed for 2026-09-24T23:00Z at Benchmark International Arena.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Tampa Bay Lightning a 67.6% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | September 24, 2026 · 2026-09-24T23:00Z |
|---|---|
| Venue | Benchmark International Arena |
| Away | Florida Panthers |
| Home | Tampa Bay Lightning |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 70.2% |
| Takedown | Tampa Bay Lightning | 71.1% |
| Edge | Tampa Bay Lightning | 50.0% |
| XSharp | Tampa Bay Lightning | 70.7% |
| Sharp Consensus | Tampa Bay Lightning | 67.6% |
Sharp Consensus: Tampa Bay Lightning (67.6%)
Markets & projections
| Prediction Lab proj | 2.5–3 |
|---|---|
| XSharp proj | 2.5–3 |
Why the models split
5 of 5 models with a stored probability lean Tampa Bay Lightning: Grinder2 (70.2%), Takedown (71.1%), Edge (50.0%), XSharp (70.7%), Sharp Consensus (67.6%).
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: Florida Panthers +197, Tampa Bay Lightning -237. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning board for September 24, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Tampa Bay Lightning at 67.6%. Use the NHL picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
