New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds & Preview — Oct. 22, 2026
New York Rangers visit the Toronto Maple Leafs on October 22, 2026, listed for 2026-10-22T23:00Z at Scotiabank Arena.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Toronto Maple Leafs a 58.6% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | October 22, 2026 · 2026-10-22T23:00Z |
|---|---|
| Venue | Scotiabank Arena |
| Away | New York Rangers |
| Home | Toronto Maple Leafs |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 55.9% |
| Takedown | Toronto Maple Leafs | 55.8% |
| Edge | Toronto Maple Leafs | 50.0% |
| XSharp | Toronto Maple Leafs | 70.2% |
| Sharp Consensus | Toronto Maple Leafs | 58.6% |
Sharp Consensus: Toronto Maple Leafs (58.6%)
Markets & projections
| Prediction Lab proj | 3.1–3.2 |
|---|
Why the models split
5 of 5 models with a stored probability lean Toronto Maple Leafs: Grinder2 (55.9%), Takedown (55.8%), Edge (50.0%), XSharp (70.2%), Sharp Consensus (58.6%).
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: New York Rangers +132, Toronto Maple Leafs -156. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs board for October 22, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Toronto Maple Leafs at 58.6%. Use the NHL picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.