Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County Prediction, Odds & Preview — Nov. 6, 2026
Bolton Wanderers visit the Derby County on November 6, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Derby County a 55.4% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | November 6, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | Bolton Wanderers |
| Home | Derby County |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | Derby County | 51.3% |
| Takedown | Derby County | 58.0% |
| Edge | Bolton Wanderers | 50.9% |
| XSharp | Derby County | 63.3% |
| Sharp Consensus | Derby County | 55.4% |
Sharp Consensus: Derby County (55.4%)
Markets & projections
| Prediction Lab proj | 1.5–2.5 |
|---|---|
| XSharp proj | 1.5–2.5 |
| PL total | 3 |
| XSharp total | 4 |
| XSharp run line | +0.5 |
Why the models split
The stored models split on this moneyline. Derby County: Grinder2 (51.3%), Takedown (58.0%), XSharp (63.3%), Sharp Consensus (55.4%) Bolton Wanderers: Edge (50.9%).
Sharp Consensus leans Derby County, while Edge lean the other way on the stored probabilities.
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: Bolton Wanderers +175, Derby County +140. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Bolton Wanderers vs Derby County board for November 6, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Derby County at 55.4%. Use the Soccer picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
