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New York City FC vs Chicago Fire FC Prediction, Odds & Preview — Oct. 10, 2026

· SOCCER

New York City FC visit the Chicago Fire FC on October 10, 2026.

Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Chicago Fire FC a 52.4% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.

Game information

DateOctober 10, 2026
AwayNew York City FC
HomeChicago Fire FC

Model moneyline

ModelSideProb
Grinder2 Chicago Fire FC 51.2%
Takedown Chicago Fire FC 54.6%
Edge Chicago Fire FC 51.7%
XSharp Chicago Fire FC 52.4%
Efficiency Chicago Fire FC 51.7%
Sharp Consensus Chicago Fire FC 52.4%

Sharp Consensus: Chicago Fire FC (52.4%)

Markets & projections

Prediction Lab proj1.5–1.5
XSharp proj1.5–1.5
PL total3
XSharp total3
XSharp run line0
H2H4 combined runs over 1 meetings

Why the models split

6 of 6 models with a stored probability lean Chicago Fire FC: Grinder2 (51.2%), Takedown (54.6%), Edge (51.7%), XSharp (52.4%), Efficiency (51.7%), Sharp Consensus (52.4%).

Takeaway

This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored New York City FC vs Chicago Fire FC board for October 10, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Chicago Fire FC at 52.4%. Use the Soccer picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.

Prediction Lab model outputs are statistical estimates from the stored board. They are not guarantees, not betting advice, and can miss.
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