New York City FC vs Chicago Fire FC Prediction, Odds & Preview — Oct. 10, 2026
New York City FC visit the Chicago Fire FC on October 10, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Chicago Fire FC a 52.4% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | October 10, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | New York City FC |
| Home | Chicago Fire FC |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | Chicago Fire FC | 51.2% |
| Takedown | Chicago Fire FC | 54.6% |
| Edge | Chicago Fire FC | 51.7% |
| XSharp | Chicago Fire FC | 52.4% |
| Efficiency | Chicago Fire FC | 51.7% |
| Sharp Consensus | Chicago Fire FC | 52.4% |
Sharp Consensus: Chicago Fire FC (52.4%)
Markets & projections
| Prediction Lab proj | 1.5–1.5 |
|---|---|
| XSharp proj | 1.5–1.5 |
| PL total | 3 |
| XSharp total | 3 |
| XSharp run line | 0 |
| H2H | 4 combined runs over 1 meetings |
Why the models split
6 of 6 models with a stored probability lean Chicago Fire FC: Grinder2 (51.2%), Takedown (54.6%), Edge (51.7%), XSharp (52.4%), Efficiency (51.7%), Sharp Consensus (52.4%).
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored New York City FC vs Chicago Fire FC board for October 10, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Chicago Fire FC at 52.4%. Use the Soccer picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.