Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Odds & Preview — Sep. 21, 2026
Dallas Wings visit the Phoenix Mercury on September 21, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Phoenix Mercury a 50.0% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | September 21, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | Dallas Wings |
| Home | Phoenix Mercury |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Edge | Phoenix Mercury | 50.0% |
| XSharp | Phoenix Mercury | 50.0% |
| Sharp Consensus | Phoenix Mercury | 50.0% |
Sharp Consensus: Phoenix Mercury (50.0%)
Markets & projections
| Prediction Lab proj | 88–89 |
|---|---|
| XSharp proj | 88–89 |
| PL total | 177 |
| XSharp total | 177 |
| XSharp run line | +1.5 |
Why the models split
3 of 3 models with a stored probability lean Phoenix Mercury: Edge (50.0%), XSharp (50.0%), Sharp Consensus (50.0%).
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: Dallas Wings -108, Phoenix Mercury -108. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury board for September 21, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Phoenix Mercury at 50.0%. Use the WNBA picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.