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Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Odds & Preview — Sep. 21, 2026

· WNBA

Dallas Wings visit the Phoenix Mercury on September 21, 2026.

Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Phoenix Mercury a 50.0% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.

Game information

DateSeptember 21, 2026
AwayDallas Wings
HomePhoenix Mercury

Model moneyline

ModelSideProb
Edge Phoenix Mercury 50.0%
XSharp Phoenix Mercury 50.0%
Sharp Consensus Phoenix Mercury 50.0%

Sharp Consensus: Phoenix Mercury (50.0%)

Markets & projections

Prediction Lab proj88–89
XSharp proj88–89
PL total177
XSharp total177
XSharp run line+1.5

Why the models split

3 of 3 models with a stored probability lean Phoenix Mercury: Edge (50.0%), XSharp (50.0%), Sharp Consensus (50.0%).

Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: Dallas Wings -108, Phoenix Mercury -108. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.

Takeaway

This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury board for September 21, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Phoenix Mercury at 50.0%. Use the WNBA picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.

Prediction Lab model outputs are statistical estimates from the stored board. They are not guarantees, not betting advice, and can miss.
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