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Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction, Odds & Preview — Sep. 22, 2026

· MLB

Tampa Bay Rays visit the New York Yankees on September 22, 2026.

Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives New York Yankees a 68.4% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.

Game information

DateSeptember 22, 2026
AwayTampa Bay Rays
HomeNew York Yankees

Model moneyline

ModelSideProb
Grinder2 New York Yankees 56.7%
Takedown New York Yankees 57.4%
Edge New York Yankees 50.0%
XSharp New York Yankees 87.8%
Efficiency New York Yankees 63.1%
Sharp Consensus New York Yankees 68.4%

Sharp Consensus: New York Yankees (68.4%)

Markets & projections

Prediction Lab proj3.5–4.5
XSharp proj2–6
PL total8
XSharp total8
XSharp run line+3.5
H2H2 combined runs over 1 meetings

Why the models split

6 of 6 models with a stored probability lean New York Yankees: Grinder2 (56.7%), Takedown (57.4%), Edge (50.0%), XSharp (87.8%), Efficiency (63.1%), Sharp Consensus (68.4%).

Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: Tampa Bay Rays -109, New York Yankees -109. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.

Takeaway

This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees board for September 22, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is New York Yankees at 68.4%. Use the MLB picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.

Prediction Lab model outputs are statistical estimates from the stored board. They are not guarantees, not betting advice, and can miss.
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