Cal Poly Mustangs vs Idaho Vandals Prediction, Odds & Preview — Nov. 13, 2026
Cal Poly Mustangs visit the Idaho Vandals on November 13, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Cal Poly Mustangs a 67.8% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | November 13, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | Cal Poly Mustangs |
| Home | Idaho Vandals |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | Idaho Vandals | 53.1% |
| Takedown | Cal Poly Mustangs | 75.4% |
| Edge | Idaho Vandals | 50.7% |
| XSharp | Cal Poly Mustangs | 95.1% |
| Sharp Consensus | Cal Poly Mustangs | 67.8% |
Sharp Consensus: Cal Poly Mustangs (67.8%)
Markets & projections
| XSharp proj | 85–79 |
|---|---|
| PL total | 165 |
| XSharp total | 164 |
| XSharp run line | -6.5 |
| H2H | 157 combined runs over 1 meetings |
Why the models split
The stored models split on this moneyline. Idaho Vandals: Grinder2 (53.1%), Edge (50.7%) Cal Poly Mustangs: Takedown (75.4%), XSharp (95.1%), Sharp Consensus (67.8%).
Sharp Consensus leans Cal Poly Mustangs, while Grinder2, Edge lean the other way on the stored probabilities.
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: Cal Poly Mustangs -239, Idaho Vandals +199. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Cal Poly Mustangs vs Idaho Vandals board for November 13, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Cal Poly Mustangs at 67.8%. Use the NCAAB picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.