Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, Odds & Preview — Oct. 11, 2026
Chicago Bears visit the Green Bay Packers on October 11, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives Green Bay Packers a 69.3% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | October 11, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | Chicago Bears |
| Home | Green Bay Packers |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | Green Bay Packers | 61.4% |
| Takedown | Green Bay Packers | 63.5% |
| Edge | Green Bay Packers | 50.0% |
| XSharp | Green Bay Packers | 97.2% |
| Sharp Consensus | Green Bay Packers | 69.3% |
Sharp Consensus: Green Bay Packers (69.3%)
Markets & projections
| XSharp proj | 26–26 |
|---|---|
| PL total | 48.3 |
| XSharp total | 52 |
| XSharp run line | -1 |
| H2H | 48.3 combined runs over 3 meetings |
Why the models split
5 of 5 models with a stored probability lean Green Bay Packers: Grinder2 (61.4%), Takedown (63.5%), Edge (50.0%), XSharp (97.2%), Sharp Consensus (69.3%).
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: Chicago Bears -132, Green Bay Packers +110. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers board for October 11, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is Green Bay Packers at 69.3%. Use the NFL picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.