Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots Prediction, Odds & Preview — Oct. 11, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders visit the New England Patriots on October 11, 2026.
Prediction Lab's stored Sharp Consensus currently gives New England Patriots a 85.9% win probability. That figure is a statistical model output for this matchup — not a guarantee, and not betting advice.
Game information
| Date | October 11, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Away | Las Vegas Raiders |
| Home | New England Patriots |
Model moneyline
| Model | Side | Prob |
|---|---|---|
| Grinder2 | New England Patriots | 90.0% |
| Takedown | New England Patriots | 91.9% |
| Edge | New England Patriots | 50.0% |
| XSharp | New England Patriots | 95.3% |
| Sharp Consensus | New England Patriots | 85.9% |
Sharp Consensus: New England Patriots (85.9%)
Markets & projections
| XSharp proj | 13–29 |
|---|---|
| PL total | 41.5 |
| XSharp total | 41.5 |
| XSharp run line | +16 |
Why the models split
5 of 5 models with a stored probability lean New England Patriots: Grinder2 (90.0%), Takedown (91.9%), Edge (50.0%), XSharp (95.3%), Sharp Consensus (85.9%).
Available sportsbook moneyline on the stored board: Las Vegas Raiders +142, New England Patriots -172. Compare that price with the model probability before treating either as a pick.
Takeaway
This preview is built from Prediction Lab's stored Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots board for October 11, 2026. The current Sharp Consensus lean is New England Patriots at 85.9%. Use the NFL picks page for the live card, then check graded results after the game. Model probabilities can be wrong; they are not locks.
