FedEx St. Jude Championship — Results (Final)
How we did: our pre-event rank vs the official finish and score. ↑ finished better than we ranked them; ↓ finished worse.
| Player | Our rank | Win probability | Finish | Score | vs model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Scottie SchefflerGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #19 | #31 | 1.4% | #1 | -17 | ↑30 |
 Si Woo KimGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #20 | #54 | 1.3% | #2 | -9 | ↑52 |
 Alex NorenGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #21 | #40 | 1.3% | #3 | -8 | ↑37 |
 Sam BurnsGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #22 | #43 | 1.3% | #4 | -8 | ↑39 |
 Wyndham ClarkGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #23 | #68 | 1.2% | #5 | -7 | ↑63 |
 Sungjae ImGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #24 | #19 | 1.5% | #6 | -7 | ↑13 |
 Xander SchauffeleGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #25 | #29 | 1.4% | #7 | -6 | ↑22 |
 Ludvig ÅbergGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #26 | #41 | 1.3% | #8 | -6 | ↑33 |
 Hideki MatsuyamaGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #27 | #46 | 1.3% | #9 | -6 | ↑37 |
 Jake Knapp | #1 | 2.1% | #10 | -6 | ↓9 |
 Tommy FleetwoodGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #28 | #25 | 1.4% | #11 | -6 | ↑14 |
 Bud CauleyGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #29 | #60 | 1.2% | #12 | -5 | ↑48 |
 Matt Fitzpatrick | #2 | 2.1% | #13 | -5 | ↓11 |
 Adam ScottGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #30 | #21 | 1.5% | #14 | -5 | ↑7 |
 Patrick CantlayGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #31 | #42 | 1.3% | #15 | -5 | ↑27 |
 Nico EchavarriaGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #32 | #44 | 1.3% | #16 | -5 | ↑28 |
 Tom KimGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #33 | #49 | 1.3% | #17 | -5 | ↑32 |
 Kurt KitayamaGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #34 | #32 | 1.4% | #18 | -5 | ↑14 |
 Maverick McNealyGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #35 | #33 | 1.4% | #19 | -4 | ↑14 |
 Pierceson CoodyGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #36 | #24 | 1.4% | #20 | -4 | ↑4 |
 Patrick Rodgers | #8 | 1.8% | #21 | -4 | ↓13 |
 Jordan SpiethGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #37 | #64 | 1.2% | #22 | -4 | ↑42 |
 Viktor Hovland | #5 | 1.9% | #23 | -4 | ↓18 |
 Max HomaGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #38 | #26 | 1.4% | #24 | -3 | ↑2 |
 Harry HallGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #39 | #50 | 1.3% | #25 | -3 | ↑25 |
 Ryan GerardGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #40 | #57 | 1.3% | #26 | -3 | ↑31 |
 Alex Smalley | #11 | 1.8% | #27 | -3 | ↓16 |
 Jackson KoivunGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #41 | #27 | 1.4% | #28 | -3 | ↓1 |
 J.T. PostonGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #42 | #58 | 1.3% | #29 | -3 | ↑29 |
 Russell HenleyGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #43 | #38 | 1.3% | #30 | -2 | ↑8 |
 Jacob BridgemanGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #44 | #36 | 1.4% | #31 | -2 | ↑5 |
 Chris GotterupGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #45 | #28 | 1.4% | #32 | -2 | ↓4 |
 Brian Harman | #3 | 2.1% | #33 | -2 | ↓30 |
 Sepp StrakaGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #46 | #55 | 1.3% | #34 | -1 | ↑21 |
 Nicolai HøjgaardGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #47 | #61 | 1.2% | #35 | -1 | ↑26 |
 Rickie Fowler | #9 | 1.8% | #36 | -1 | ↓27 |
 J.J. SpaunGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #48 | #65 | 1.2% | #37 | -1 | ↑28 |
 Keith MitchellGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #49 | #51 | 1.3% | #38 | -1 | ↑13 |
 Justin RoseGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #50 | #47 | 1.3% | #39 | E | ↑8 |
 Cameron Young | #14 | 1.6% | #40 | E | ↓26 |
 Nick Taylor | #12 | 1.7% | #41 | E | ↓29 |
 Harris English | #15 | 1.6% | #42 | +1 | ↓27 |
 Ben Griffin | #13 | 1.7% | #43 | +1 | ↓30 |
 Michael Brennan | #6 | 1.9% | #44 | +1 | ↓38 |
 Sam StevensGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #51 | #52 | 1.3% | #45 | +1 | ↑7 |
 Gary WoodlandGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #52 | #20 | 1.5% | #46 | +1 | ↓26 |
 Corey ConnersGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #53 | #62 | 1.2% | #47 | +2 | ↑15 |
 Michael ThorbjornsenGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #54 | #45 | 1.3% | #48 | +2 | ↓3 |
 Sudarshan YellamarajuGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #55 | #63 | 1.2% | #49 | +2 | ↑14 |
 Matti SchmidGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #56 | #23 | 1.4% | #50 | +2 | ↓27 |
 Justin ThomasGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #57 | #39 | 1.3% | #51 | +2 | ↓12 |
 Shane Lowry | #17 | 1.5% | #52 | +3 | ↓35 |
 Collin Morikawa | #4 | 2.0% | #53 | +3 | ↓49 |
 Ryo HisatsuneGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #58 | #67 | 1.2% | #54 | +3 | ↑13 |
 Min Woo LeeGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #59 | #34 | 1.4% | #55 | +4 | ↓21 |
 Jordan SmithGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #60 | #53 | 1.3% | #56 | +4 | ↓3 |
 Michael KimGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #61 | #22 | 1.5% | #57 | +4 | ↓35 |
 Ryan FoxGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #62 | #35 | 1.4% | #58 | +5 | ↓23 |
 Kristoffer ReitanGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #63 | #30 | 1.4% | #59 | +5 | ↓29 |
 Eric Cole | #18 | 1.5% | #60 | +5 | ↓42 |
 Alex Fitzpatrick | #7 | 1.9% | #61 | +6 | ↓54 |
 Aldrich Potgieter | #10 | 1.8% | #62 | +6 | ↓52 |
 Matt McCarty | #16 | 1.6% | #63 | +7 | ↓47 |
 Ricky CastilloGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #64 | #66 | 1.2% | #64 | +7 | ↑2 |
 Aaron RaiGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #65 | #59 | 1.3% | #65 | +7 | ↓6 |
 Rory McIlroyGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #66 | #69 | 1.2% | #66 | +8 | ↑3 |
 Sahith TheegalaGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #67 | #37 | 1.4% | #67 | +11 | ↓30 |
 Akshay BhatiaGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #68 | #56 | 1.3% | #68 | +13 | ↓12 |
 Robert MacIntyreGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #69 | #48 | 1.3% | #69 | +12 | ↓21 |