TOUR Championship — Results (Final)
How we did: our pre-event rank vs the official finish and score. ↑ finished better than we ranked them; ↓ finished worse.
| Player | Our rank | Win probability | Finish | Score | vs model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Scottie SchefflerGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #7 | #13 | 3.2% | #1 | -16 | ↑12 |
 Viktor Hovland | #3 | 4.5% | #2 | -13 | ↑1 |
 Ryan GerardGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #8 | #27 | 2.9% | #3 | -12 | ↑24 |
 Alex Fitzpatrick | #4 | 4.5% | #4 | -11 | = |
 Jacob BridgemanGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #9 | #16 | 3.1% | #5 | -11 | ↑11 |
 Min Woo LeeGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #10 | #14 | 3.2% | #6 | -11 | ↑8 |
 Russell HenleyGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #11 | #17 | 3.1% | #7 | -11 | ↑10 |
 Rory McIlroyGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #12 | #29 | 2.8% | #8 | -11 | ↑21 |
 Ludvig ÅbergGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #13 | #18 | 3.1% | #9 | -11 | ↑9 |
 Chris GotterupGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #14 | #9 | 3.2% | #10 | -11 | ↓1 |
 Tommy FleetwoodGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #15 | #10 | 3.2% | #11 | -10 | ↓1 |
 Cameron Young | #6 | 3.7% | #12 | -10 | ↓6 |
 Adam ScottGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #16 | #8 | 3.4% | #13 | -10 | ↓5 |
 Xander SchauffeleGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #17 | #11 | 3.2% | #14 | -9 | ↓3 |
 Tom KimGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #18 | #24 | 3.0% | #15 | -9 | ↑9 |
 Collin Morikawa | #2 | 4.7% | #16 | -9 | ↓14 |
 Si Woo KimGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #19 | #25 | 2.9% | #17 | -9 | ↑8 |
 Akshay BhatiaGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #20 | #26 | 2.9% | #18 | -7 | ↑8 |
 Justin Rose | #21 | 3.0% | #19 | -7 | ↑2 |
 Sam BurnsGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #22 | #20 | 3.0% | #20 | -7 | = |
 Hideki MatsuyamaGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #23 | #22 | 3.0% | #21 | -5 | ↑1 |
 Patrick CantlayGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #24 | #19 | 3.1% | #22 | -5 | ↓3 |
 Wyndham ClarkGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #25 | #30 | 2.8% | #23 | -5 | ↑7 |
 Matt Fitzpatrick | #1 | 4.9% | #24 | -5 | ↓23 |
 Kristoffer ReitanGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #26 | #12 | 3.2% | #25 | -3 | ↓13 |
 Ryan FoxGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #27 | #15 | 3.2% | #26 | -2 | ↓11 |
 Alex Smalley | #5 | 4.1% | #27 | -1 | ↓22 |
 Robert MacIntyreGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #28 | #23 | 3.0% | #28 | E | ↓5 |
 Gary WoodlandGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #29 | #7 | 3.4% | #29 | +2 | ↓22 |
 J.J. SpaunGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #30 | #28 | 2.8% | #30 | +4 | ↓2 |