BMW Championship — Results (Final)
How we did: our pre-event rank vs the official finish and score. ↑ finished better than we ranked them; ↓ finished worse.
| Player | Our rank | Win probability | Finish | Score | vs model |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Wyndham ClarkGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #13 | #49 | 1.7% | #1 | -17 | ↑48 |
 Patrick CantlayGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #14 | #29 | 1.8% | #2 | -14 | ↑27 |
 Rory McIlroyGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #15 | #50 | 1.7% | #3 | -13 | ↑47 |
 Collin Morikawa | #3 | 2.8% | #4 | -12 | ↓1 |
 Chris Gotterup | #16 | 1.9% | #5 | -12 | ↑11 |
 Gary WoodlandGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #17 | #13 | 2.1% | #6 | -12 | ↑7 |
 Robert MacIntyreGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #18 | #35 | 1.8% | #7 | -10 | ↑28 |
 Maverick McNealyGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #19 | #20 | 1.9% | #8 | -10 | ↑12 |
 Jacob BridgemanGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #20 | #25 | 1.9% | #9 | -9 | ↑16 |
 Michael Brennan | #4 | 2.7% | #10 | -8 | ↓6 |
 Sungjae ImGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #21 | #14 | 2.1% | #11 | -8 | ↑3 |
 Scottie SchefflerGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #22 | #21 | 1.9% | #12 | -7 | ↑9 |
 Akshay BhatiaGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #23 | #39 | 1.8% | #13 | -7 | ↑26 |
 Russell HenleyGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #24 | #27 | 1.8% | #14 | -7 | ↑13 |
 Ryo HisatsuneGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #25 | #48 | 1.7% | #15 | -7 | ↑33 |
 Alex Smalley | #8 | 2.4% | #16 | -6 | ↓8 |
 Adam ScottGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #26 | #15 | 2.0% | #17 | -6 | ↓2 |
 Aaron RaiGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #27 | #42 | 1.7% | #18 | -6 | ↑24 |
 Ludvig ÅbergGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #28 | #30 | 1.8% | #19 | -6 | ↑11 |
 Ryan GerardGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #29 | #43 | 1.7% | #20 | -6 | ↑23 |
 Justin ThomasGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #30 | #28 | 1.8% | #21 | -6 | ↑7 |
 J.T. PostonGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #31 | #44 | 1.7% | #22 | -5 | ↑22 |
 Justin RoseGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #32 | #36 | 1.8% | #23 | -5 | ↑13 |
 Kristoffer ReitanGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #33 | #18 | 1.9% | #24 | -5 | ↓6 |
 J.J. SpaunGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #34 | #47 | 1.7% | #25 | -5 | ↑22 |
 Kurt KitayamaGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #35 | #22 | 1.9% | #26 | -4 | ↓4 |
 Xander SchauffeleGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #36 | #19 | 1.9% | #27 | -4 | ↓8 |
 Hideki Matsuyama | #37 | 1.8% | #28 | -3 | ↑9 |
 Tom Kim | #38 | 1.8% | #29 | -3 | ↑9 |
 Sam BurnsGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #39 | #32 | 1.8% | #30 | -3 | ↑2 |
 Matt Fitzpatrick | #1 | 2.9% | #31 | -3 | ↓30 |
 Eric Cole | #12 | 2.1% | #32 | -3 | ↓20 |
 Si Woo Kim | #40 | 1.8% | #33 | -2 | ↑7 |
 Matt McCarty | #10 | 2.2% | #34 | -2 | ↓24 |
 Sepp Straka | #41 | 1.8% | #35 | -2 | ↑6 |
 Viktor Hovland | #5 | 2.7% | #36 | -2 | ↓31 |
 Rickie Fowler | #7 | 2.6% | #37 | -1 | ↓30 |
 Michael ThorbjornsenGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #42 | #33 | 1.8% | #38 | -1 | ↓5 |
 Alex NorenGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #43 | #31 | 1.8% | #39 | -1 | ↓8 |
 Cameron Young | #11 | 2.2% | #40 | -1 | ↓29 |
 Jake Knapp | #2 | 2.9% | #41 | E | ↓39 |
 Sahith TheegalaGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #44 | #26 | 1.9% | #42 | E | ↓16 |
 Nicolai Højgaard | #45 | 1.7% | #43 | E | ↑2 |
 Bud Cauley | #46 | 1.7% | #44 | +1 | ↑2 |
 Ben Griffin | #9 | 2.3% | #45 | +1 | ↓36 |
 Alex Fitzpatrick | #6 | 2.7% | #46 | +1 | ↓40 |
 Tommy FleetwoodGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #47 | #17 | 1.9% | #47 | +2 | ↓30 |
 Min Woo LeeGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #48 | #23 | 1.9% | #48 | +2 | ↓25 |
 Ryan FoxGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #49 | #24 | 1.9% | #49 | +2 | ↓25 |
 Nico EchavarriaGrinder2/Takedown/Edge #50 | #34 | 1.8% | #50 | +5 | ↓16 |